Sunday, August 23, 2015

Hazardous Weather Outlook (Aug 23, 2015)

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
438 AM EDT SUN AUG 23 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A PERIOD OF THUNDERSTORMS IS LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW STORMS
WITHIN A NARROW NORTH TO SOUTH ORIENTED LINE COULD BECOME STRONG
EAST OF HIGHWAY 131. LOCALIZED WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 60 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE BETWEEN 2 PM AND 7 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON.

Sunday, August 2, 2015

Hazardous Weather Outlook (Aug 2, 2015)

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
550 AM EDT SUN AUG 2 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO
TONIGHT...ALTHOUGH A FEW SCATTERED STORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE
MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS OF 60 MPH OR GREATER.
THE STORMS WILL FORM ALONG A COLD
FRONT WHICH WILL APPROACH LUDINGTON BY 5PM OR 6PM AND REACH GRAND
RAPIDS BY 8PM OR SHORTLY THEREAFTER. STORMS WILL CONTINUE MOVING
SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE I-94 CORRIDOR AFTER 10PM OR 11PM. SECONDARY
CONCERNS INCLUDE LARGE HAIL
AND AN ISOLATED TORNADO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

Friday, July 17, 2015

Hazardous Weather Outlook (July 17, 2015)

Its gonna be a hot one this weekend, folks.

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AN ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...MAINLY SOUTH OF A LANSING TO SOUTH HAVEN LINE. LOCALIZED
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL ARE THE PRIMARY RISKS. THE MAIN
STORM MOTION WILL BE EAST AT 30 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL NEAR 100 DEGREES ON SATURDAY. THUS
CONDITIONS COULD BECOME HAZARDOUS.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
UNCERTAINTY EXISTS ON THE TIMING AND COVERAGE OF THE STORMS.
HOWEVER THE ENVIRONMENT IS FORECASTED TO BE SUPPORTIVE OF DAMAGING
WINDS AND LARGE HAIL
. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE AS WELL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

Tuesday, June 23, 2015

My personal thoughts...

Good morning, all!

Just wanted to recap yesterday's weather events. 

While Kent County didn't receive much of the forecasted severe weather, it was indeed a very dangerous setup for a potential disaster.  Several counties in Michigan received a lot of storm damage, including the city of Portland just over the boarder in Ionia county.  I watched the rotation of this storm on the radar as it started out in Georgetown, spit out a small downdraft in Wyoming - causing some minor damage to trees, wires, and took some siding off an apartment complex, continued on to just south of Lowell, and finally dropping a pretty destructive tornado in Portland.  As the crow flies, that was only 22.79 miles from my house.  A pretty close call if you ask me.  Just a small change in storm velocity and that could have been my neighborhood it was ripping through.

I know it seems there is a lot of "cry wolf" when it comes to weather, and there is a lot of information that comes from this blog that never seems to come to fruition, and to that I say "THANK GOODNESS!"  I know personally that I'd rather know that there is something in the air that possibly may happen and be prepared for it rather than get caught with my pants down on the back 40 with little or no warning. 

If you receive my weather updates and warnings, its because I care about you as my family and friends and try to do my best to keep you updated with the latest potential weather threats that may affect you as you go about your day.  Some of it is automated, as I can't always post the warnings that come out and time can be precious.  Some of it is the result of studying several weather models and sending out a best guess.  And some of it is just disregarding what everyone says and drawing my own conclusion just based on what the weather looks like itself.

I haven't heard that any of you received any storm damage yesterday, and for that I am most thankful.  Let's keep Portland, its rescue workers, and cleanup crews in our thoughts and prayers as they continue to clean up after yesterday's storms. 

May you have a safe and pleasant day today.  There are more storms forecasted for later this week, however they should stay south of our area and are not forecasted to be severe at this time.

Derek



Monday, June 22, 2015

Hazardous Weather Outlook (June 22, 2015)

Confidence is high in this report.  Tornados, winds gusts to 75mph, and hail up to 4 inches already reported at 730am this morning to our west.  I think the highest risk of severe weather will be damaging winds and possibly hail.  I had to turn the lighting tracker off my radar as it covered everything else there was so much of it.


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
553 AM EDT MON JUN 22 2015
...
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AN ENHANCED RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN. THERE IS AN INCREASED RISK FOR SIGNIFICANT SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WHICH WOULD LEAD TO HIGHER IMPACTS. SEVERAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS LOOK LIKELY. THIS FIRST ARRIVES DURING THE EARLY TO MIDDLE PART OF THE AFTERNOON WITH THE SECOND ROUND OF STORMS EXPECTED IN THE EVENING. THE PRIMARY RISKS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL WITH AN ISOLATED TORNADO POSSIBLE. AN INCREASED POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS IS FORECASTED. FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED. THE PRIMARY STORM MOTION WILL BE EAST WITH SPEEDS OVER 50 MPH POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY INTO FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.

Sunday, June 21, 2015

Hazardous Weather Outlook (June 21, 2015)

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
606 AM EDT SUN JUN 21 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TODAY SHOULD BE ISOLATED. SEVERE
WEATHER IS NOT FORECASTED WITH THE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A POSSIBLE SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK IS BEING WATCHED FOR MONDAY.
THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER IS HIGHLIGHTING SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN AS AN AREA OF CONCERN FOR SIGNIFICANT THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT. DESTRUCTIVE WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 75 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE IF STORMS MATERIALIZE.
IN ADDITION...A FEW TORNADOES MAY
FORM IN THIS TYPE OF ENVIRONMENT.
CLOSELY MONITOR FORECAST UPDATES AS THE PICTURE BECOMES CLEARER FOR MONDAY.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

Saturday, June 20, 2015

Hazardous Weather Outlook (June 20, 2015)

Monday is not looking good.  Its rare for the NWS to use the wording they did for Monday. I'll be keeping an eye on it and will keep you updated.with the latest.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
520 AM EDT SAT JUN 20 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY TONIGHT.
SEVERE WEATHER LOOKS UNLIKELY AND THE MOST SIGNIFICANT STORMS LOOK
TO STAY FROM CHICAGO TO DES MOINES. SOME HAIL IS POSSIBLE IN THE
STRONGEST STORMS TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A POSSIBLE SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK IS BEING WATCHED FOR MONDAY.
THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER IS HIGHLIGHTING SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN AS AN AREA OF CONCERN FOR SIGNIFICANT THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT. DESTRUCTIVE WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 75 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE IF STORMS MATERIALIZE
. IN ADDITION...A FEW TORNADOES MAY
FORM IN THIS TYPE OF ENVIRONMENT
. CLOSELY MONITOR FORECAST UPDATES
THIS WEEKEND AS THE PICTURE BECOMES CLEARER FOR MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT AND WILL LIKELY BE
NEEDED FOR MONDAY.